| Topics covered include: History of epidemic modelling, components of the modelling process, study design including case control, cross sectional, cohort and experimental studies. Inferential statistics: hypothesis tests and confidence intervals for means and proportions. Analysing, solving and interpreting various models of diseases such as the Kermack-McKendrick Susceptible, Infectious and Recovered (SIR) models using differential equations, applications to childhood diseases. Consideration will be given to the implications of the models and their results for policy and planning in the health services. |